Extracting the coherent core of human probability judgement: a research program for cognitive psychology.

نویسندگان

  • D Osherson
  • E Shafir
  • E E Smith
چکیده

Human intuition is a rich and useful guide to uncertain events in the environment but suffers from probabilistic incoherence in the technical sense. Developing methods for extracting a coherent body of judgement that is maximally consistent with a person's intuition is a challenging task for cognitive psychology, and also relevant to the construction of artificial expert systems. The present article motivates this problem, and outlines one approach to it.

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • Cognition

دوره 50 1-3  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 1994